MANILA, Philippines –
‘Bagyong Odette’ (international name: Rai) is now over the Panay Gulf, state weather bureau PAGASA announced in its 5:00 am update on Friday, December 17, 2021.
At 4:00 am today, the center of Typhoon ‘Odette’ was estimated based on all available data 75 km Southwest of Iloilo City.
|Satellite image of Bagyong ‘Odette’ as of 4:50 am, December 17, 2021. Photo from PAGASA|
‘Bagyong Odette’ has maximum sustained winds of 155 km/h near the center, gustiness of up to 235 km/h, and central pressure of 950 hPa. It is moving westward at 35 km/h. Strong winds or higher extend outwards up to 480 km from the center.
TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNALS IN EFFECT
TCWS No. 3 (Destructive typhoon-force winds prevailing or expected within 18 hours)
- the northern portion of Palawan (El Nido, Taytay, Araceli, Dumaran, Roxas, San Vicente, Puerto Princesa City) including Cagayancillo and Cuyo Islands
- the southern portion of Iloilo (Iloilo City, Pavia, Leganes, Santa Barbara, San Miguel, Alimodian, Cabatuan, Maasin, New Lucena, Zarraga, Dumangas, Leon, Oton, Tigbauan, Igbaras, Tubungan, Guimbal, Miagao, San Joaquin)
- the southern portion of Antique (San Remigio, Patnongon, Sibalom, San Jose, Belison, Hamtic, Tobias Fornier, Anini-Y)
- the central and southern portions of Negros Occidental (Bago City, Bacolod City, La Castellana, La Carlota City, Pulupandan, San Enrique, Valladolid, Pontevedra, Hinigaran, Moises Padilla, Isabela, Binalbagan, City of Himamaylan, City of Kabankalan, Cauayan, Ilog, Candoni, Hinoba-An, City of Sipalay)
- the central portion of Negros Oriental (Basay, City of Bayawan, Mabinay, Ayungon, Tayasan, Jimalalud, La Libertad)
TCWS No. 2 (Damaging gale- to storm-force winds prevailing or expected within 24 hours)
- the southern portion of Oriental Mindoro (Bansud, Bulalacao, Roxas, Bongabong, Mansalay)
- the southern portion of Occidental Mindoro (Rizal, San Jose, Magsaysay, Calintaan, Sablayan)
- the southern portion of Masbate (Esperanza, Mandaon, Placer, Cawayan, Milagros, Balud)
- the central portion of Palawan (Narra, Sofronio Española, Quezon, Aborlan, Rizal, Brooke’s Point) including Kalayaan and Calamian Islands
- the rest of Antique
- the rest of Iloilo
- the rest of Negros Oriental
- the rest of Negros Occidental
- the western portion of Bohol (Inabanga, Buenavista, Sagbayan, Catigbian, Balilihan, Dauis, Panglao, Corella, Baclayon, Alburquerque, Sikatuna, Tagbilaran City, Cortes, Maribojoc, Loon, Antequera, Tubigon, Calape, San Isidro, Clarin, Getafe)
TCWS No. 1 (Strong winds prevailing or expected within 36 hours)
- Camarines Norte
- Camarines Sur
- the rest of Masbate including Ticao and Burias Islands
the southern portion of Quezon (San Antonio, Tiaong, Candelaria, Sariaya, Dolores, Lucena City, Pagbilao, Padre Burgos, Atimonan, Agdangan, Unisan, Gumaca, Plaridel, Pitogo, Lopez, Guinayangan, Buenavista, Catanauan, General Luna, Macalelon, Mulanay, San Narciso, San Andres, San Francisco, Tagkawayan, Calauag, Quezon, Alabat, City of Tayabas, Perez)
the rest of Occidental Mindoro including Lubang Islands
- the rest of Oriental Mindoro
- the rest of Palawan
- Eastern Samar
- Northern Samar
- Southern Leyte
- rest of Bohol
- Dinagat Islands
- Surigao del Norte
- Agusan del Norte
- Misamis Oriental
- Lanao del Norte
- Misamis Occidental
- the northern portion of Zamboanga del Norte (Baliguian, Gutalac, Kalawit, Labason, Liloy, Tampilisan, Salug, Godod, Bacungan, Sindangan, Siayan, Manukan, Jose Dalman, Pres. Manuel A. Roxas, Sergio Osmeña Sr., Katipunan, Dipolog City, Polanco, Dapitan City, Piñan, Mutia, La Libertad, Sibutad, Rizal)
- the northern portion of Zamboanga del Sur (Midsalip, Dumingag, Sominot, Ramon Magsaysay, Mahayag, Molave, Tambulig, Josefina, Aurora)
TRACK AND INTENSITY OUTLOOK
Moving generally westward, the typhoon is forecast to cross the Sulu Sea and pass near or in the vicinity of either Cuyo or Cagayancillo archipelago this noon before making landfall in the vicinity of northern or central portion of Palawan this afternoon. After re-emerging over the West Philippine Sea tonight, ‘Odette’ is forecast to pass in the vicinity of Kalayaan Islands tomorrow.
‘Odette’ may still see some slight weakening until it crosses Palawan, but it is forecast to remain as a typhoon. Re-intensification is likely once ‘Odette’ emerges over the West Philippine Sea. However, continuous weakening may ensue beginning Sunday as the typhoon becomes exposed to increasing vertical wind shear and the surge of the Northeast Monsoon.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND AREAS
Today: Heavy to torrential rains over Western Visayas, Palawan including Calamian, Cuyo, and Cagayancillo Islands, and Negros Oriental. Moderate to heavy with at times intense rains over the Bicol Region, Zamboanga Peninsula, Quezon, and the rest of MIMAROPA. Light to moderate with at times heavy rains over the Metro Manila, Cagayan Valley, Cordillera Administrative Region, Caraga, Northern Mindanao, Aurora, Lanao del Sur, and the rest of Visayas.
Tomorrow: Heavy to intense with at times torrential rains over Kalayaan Islands. Moderate to heavy rains over Catanduanes, Camarines Provinces, Quezon, and Aurora. Light to moderate with at times heavy rains over Cagayan Valley, Cordillera Administrative Region, Metro Manila, Eastern Visayas, Rizal, Bulacan, mainland Palawan including Calamian Islands, and the rest of Bicol Region.
Under these conditions, scattered to widespread flooding (including flash floods) and rain-induced landslides are expected especially in areas that are highly or very highly susceptible to these hazard as identified in hazard maps, and in localities with significant antecedent rainfall.
Destructive typhoon-force winds will be experienced within any of the areas where TCWS #3 is in effect. This may bring moderate to heavy damage to structures and vegetation.
Damaging winds reaching gale- to storm-force strength will be experienced within any of the areas where TCWS #2 is in effect. This may result in generally light to moderate damage to structures and vegetation.
Strong winds (strong breeze to near gale) with higher gusts will be experienced within any of the areas where TCWS #1 is currently in effect during the passage of the typhoon. This may generally bring up to very light damage to structures and vegetation.
There is a moderate to high risk of storm surge of up to 3.0 m in height in the next 24 hours which may cause life-threatening flooding in the low-lying coastal areas of Negros Provinces, Iloilo, Antique, Guimaras, and several localities in the northern portion of Palawan (including Calamian, Cuyo and Cagayancillo Islands).
HAZARDS AFFECTING COASTAL WATERS
In the next 24 hours, moderate to very high seas (1.2 to 10.0 m) will be experienced over the seaboards of areas where TCWS is in effect (especially in the open sea areas). These conditions are risky for all types of sea vessels. Mariners are advised to remain in port or take shelter in port until winds and waves subside.
Under the influence of Typhoon ‘Odette’ and the prevailing Northeast Monsoon, a Gale Warning remains in effect for several coastal waters not under any wind signal, specifically the seaboards of Northern Luzon, and the eastern seaboards of Central Luzon, Southern Luzon, and Mindanao.
In the next 24 hours, moderate to rough seas (1.2 to 3.1 m) will also prevail over the remaining seaboards of the country that are not under any wind signal. These conditions are risky for those using small seacrafts. Mariners are advised to take precautionary measures when venturing out to sea and, if possible, avoid navigating in these conditions.
‘Odette’, the 15th tropical cyclone this year, entered the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) at 7 pm on Tuesday, December 14.
On average, there are 20 tropical cyclones that could form or enter the PAR each year. Only half of those are projected to make landfall.
The weather agency declared the onset of the rainy season on Friday, June 5.
— The Summit Express