During the initial days of early voting in the NYC mayoral election, hundreds of thousands of New Yorkers have already, with the three leading candidates demonstrating no slackening in their campaigns.
On Friday, Democratic nominee and frontrunner Zohran Mamdani connected with older voters by engaging in Tai Chi with seniors on the Lower East Side, subsequently joining trick-or-treaters in Park Slope on Halloween evening. , the former Democratic governor of New York now campaigning as an independent, sought the support of conservatives in Brighton Beach, while the Republican on the sixth day of early voting, in advance of election day on November 4.
By Saturday, approximately 480,000 individuals had already cast ballots in the highly observed New York City mayoral election, exceeding the turnout of the previous election, amidst substantial financial contributions from national personalities seeking to hinder democratic socialist Mamdani from assuming leadership in the country’s most populous city.
Public records indicate former mayor Michael Bloomberg made a donation this week to a super PAC against Mamdani, and provided $1.5 million to a separate PAC backing Cuomo. Concurrently, Cuomo persistently posted that asserted a vote for Sliwa would equate to a vote for Mamdani, intending to influence conservative voters towards his own campaign.
Notwithstanding the considerable expenditure, Mamdani continues as a distinct frontrunner in surveys, with the Democratic nominee preserving his double-digit advantage over the former Governor in the majority of polls preceding the election.
The latest poll, however, has revealed his lead over Cuomo has diminished to merely seven points—representing the narrowest margin of the campaign to date.
In contrast to the primaries, the general election does not utilize ranked-choice voting, meaning the candidate who garners the highest number of votes after election day will become mayor.
Below is a summary of the most recent polls as the campaign approaches its concluding days.
AtlasIntel (Oct 25-30)
Zohran Mamdani 41% Andrew Cuomo 34% Curtis Sliwa 24%
Poll : 1,587 likely voters.
Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research (Oct 24-28)
Zohran Mamdani 47% Andrew Cuomo 31% Curtis Sliwa 15%
Poll : 971 likely voters.
Marist University (Oct 24-28)
Zohran Mamdani 48% Andrew Cuomo 32% Curtis Sliwa 16%
Poll : 792 likely voters.
Quinnipiac University (Oct 23-27)
Zohran Mamdani 43% Andrew Cuomo 33% Curtis Sliwa 14%
Poll : 911 likely voters.
Emerson College (Oct 25-27)
Zohran Mamdani 51% Andrew Cuomo 26% Curtis Sliwa 21%
Poll : 640 likely voters.
Manhattan Institute (Oct 22-26)
Zohran Mamdani 43% Andrew Cuomo 28% Curtis Sliwa 15%
Poll : 600 likely voters.
J.L. Partners (Oct 23-26)
Zohran Mamdani 43% Andrew Cuomo 29% Curtis Sliwa 19%
Poll : 500 likely voters.
Suffolk University (Oct 23-26)
Zohran Mamdani 44% Andrew Cuomo 34% Curtis Sliwa 11%
Poll : 500 likely voters.
Victory Insights (Oct 22-23)
Zohran Mamdani 47% Andrew Cuomo 29% Curtis Sliwa 16%
Poll : 500 likely voters.
Zenith Research (Oct 14-20)
Zohran Mamdani 45% Andrew Cuomo 29% Curtis Sliwa 15%
Poll : 837 likely voters.
Patriot Polling (Oct 18-19)
Zohran Mamdani 43% Andrew Cuomo 32% Curtis Sliwa 19%
Poll : 715 likely voters.
Gotham Polling & Analytics Oct (22-26)
Zohran Mamdani 43%. Andrew Cuomo 29% Curtis Sliwa 19%
Poll : 1,040 likely voters.